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Prediction of Pretrial Failure to Appear and an Alternative Pretrial Release Risk-Classification Scheme in New York City: A Reassessment Study

Results from a validation study of a proposed pretrial release-on-recognizance (ROR) recommendation scheme are supplied and analyzed. Four sections comprise this report: introduction; methodology; results -- defendant characteristics, applying the final model from the '98 sample to the '01 sample, construction of the point scale, additional analyses, final point scale, and alternative risk-classification scheme; and conclusion. The recommended risk-classification scheme proved to be a valid tool that "would classify a considerably higher proportion of defendants as low risks, while keeping their FTA [failure to appear] rate at the same level" (p. 38). Accession Number: 018497

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